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Computer Assisted Wargame for Military Capability-Based Planning.

Jan Hodický1, Dalibor Procházka2, Fabian Baxa2

  • 1NATO Headquarters Supreme Allied Commander Transformation, Norfolk, VA 23551, USA.

Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a qualitative expert system for computer-assisted wargaming to improve defense capability requirements. It reduces umpire bias and reveals budget cut impacts, enhancing planning accuracy.

Keywords:
capability requirementscomputer assisted wargameexpert systemmilitary capability-based planningwargaming

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Area of Science:

  • Defense planning
  • Systems engineering
  • Military operations research

Background:

  • Capability-based planning is complex, influenced by diverse factors.
  • Wargaming is a key qualitative technique for military insights.
  • Computer assistance in wargaming faces challenges with quantitative methods and objective complexity.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To verify a qualitative expert system within computer-assisted wargaming.
  • To develop capability requirements for defense planning.
  • To reduce umpire bias and decision-making risks.

Main Methods:

  • Discovery experiment using a qualitative expert system.
  • Application of system dynamics modeling and simulation paradigms.
  • Computer-assisted wargaming with an integrated expert system.

Main Results:

  • The expert system enables qualitative comparisons of capability requirements.
  • It reveals the impact of budget cuts on proposed solutions.
  • Umpire bias and associated risks are reduced.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed concept was validated by wargame players.
  • Future development should allow user-defined capabilities.
  • This approach enhances the development of defense capability requirements.