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Energy, Entropy, Constraints, and Creativity in Economic Growth and Crises.
Reiner Kümmel1, Dietmar Lindenberger2
1Institute for Theoretical Physics und Astrophysics, University of Würzburg, D-97074 Würzburg, Germany.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|December 8, 2020
Summary
Neoclassical economic growth models overlook thermodynamics and energy's true role. Biophysical analysis reveals energy
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Thermodynamics
- Industrial Ecology
Background:
- Mainstream neoclassical economic growth theory neglects the First and Second Laws of Thermodynamics.
- It typically considers only capital and labor, assigning a minimal 5% output elasticity to energy.
- This leads to issues like the 'Solow Residual' and failure to explain economic recessions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To highlight overlooked technological constraints in neoclassical cost-share theorem derivations.
- To propose biophysical analyses of economic growth that address neoclassical deficiencies.
- To elucidate the bidirectional causality between energy conversion and economic growth.
Main Methods:
- Critique of the neoclassical cost-share theorem by incorporating technological constraints.
- Development of biophysical economic growth models.
- Analysis of energy's output elasticity and its relationship with economic growth.
Main Results:
- Energy's output elasticity is significantly larger than its cost share.
- A bidirectional causality exists between energy conversion and economic growth.
- This framework helps explain economic crises and recovery through supply and demand dynamics.
Conclusions:
- Biophysical economic growth models offer a more accurate representation than neoclassical theory.
- Human creativity is crucial but faces risks from energy markets and technological challenges.
- Entropy production, through emissions and heat, imposes constraints on industrial growth within the biosphere.
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