Dynamic modelling of Legionella pneumophila thermal inactivation in water

A predictive mathematical model describing the effect of temperature on the inactivation of Legionella pneumophila in water was developed. Thermal inactivation of L. pneumophila was monitored under isothermal conditions (51 - 61°C). A primary log-linear model was fitted to the inactivation data and the estimated D values ranged from 0.23 to 25.31 min for water temperatures from 61 to 51°C, respectively. The effect of temperature on L. pneumophila inactivation was described using a secondary model, and the model parameters z value and D_ref (D-value at 55°C) were estimated at 5.54°C and 3.47 min, respectively. The developed model was further validated under dynamic temperature conditions mimicking various conditions of water thermal disinfection in plumbing systems. The results indicated that the model can satisfactorily predict thermal inactivation of the pathogen at dynamic temperature environments and effectively translate water temperature profiles to cell number reduction. The application of the model in combination with effective temperature monitoring could provide the basis of an integrated preventive approach for the effective control of L. pneumophila in plumbing systems.