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Survey data and human computation for improved flu tracking.

Stefan Wojcik1, Avleen S Bijral2, Richard Johnston2

  • 1Twitter, 1355 Market, St. San Francisco, CA, USA. swojcik@twitter.com.

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|January 9, 2021
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study integrates digital behavior, real-world data, and human computation to track Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) prevalence. The novel approach improves tracking accuracy using search engine data, outperforming existing benchmarks.

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Area of Science:

  • Computational Social Science
  • Epidemiology
  • Human-Computer Interaction

Background:

  • Digital trace data offers insights into human behavior but lacks experiential context.
  • Current methods often underutilize human cognitive abilities (human computation).
  • Tracking public health trends like Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) using digital data presents challenges.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To demonstrate how behavioral research and human computation can enhance studies using digital data streams.
  • To develop an improved model for tracking ILI prevalence using search engine data.
  • To explore the potential of integrating digital and real-world behavior for public health surveillance.

Main Methods:

  • Constructed a behavioral model of flu-related search queries using linked survey and browsing data.
  • Employed human computation for the classification of search strings.
  • Developed a tracking model for ILI prevalence based on enhanced search data analysis.

Main Results:

  • The developed ILI tracking model significantly outperforms established historical benchmarks.
  • The model effectively utilizes limited search data streams for accurate prevalence tracking.
  • The approach demonstrates suitability for tracking ILI in smaller geographic regions.

Conclusions:

  • Integrating behavioral research, digital data, and human computation offers a powerful method for public health surveillance.
  • The described methodology can improve the accuracy and granularity of tracking various real-time phenomena.
  • This approach holds potential for near real-time tracking of a wide range of public health indicators.