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The Proportion of SARS-CoV-2 Infections That Are Asymptomatic : A Systematic Review
1Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, California (D.P.O., E.J.T.).
Annals of Internal Medicine
|January 22, 2021
Summary
At least one-third of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections are asymptomatic. Longitudinal data indicate that most individuals who test positive without symptoms remain asymptomatic, impacting COVID-19 control strategies.
Area of Science:
- Virology and Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Disease Transmission
Background:
- Asymptomatic infection is a significant characteristic of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus responsible for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
- The precise prevalence of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections remains uncertain, necessitating further investigation for effective public health strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the proportion of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 who never exhibit symptoms.
- To provide data that can inform and potentially alter COVID-19 control strategies by accounting for asymptomatic transmission.
Main Methods:
- A comprehensive literature search was conducted across multiple databases (Google News, Google Scholar, medRxiv, PubMed) using relevant keywords such as 'antibodies,' 'asymptomatic,' 'COVID-19,' 'PCR,' 'seroprevalence,' and 'SARS-CoV-2.'
- Eligible studies included observational, descriptive, cross-sectional, and longitudinal designs involving SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid or antibody testing.
- Data extraction focused on study design, testing methods, participant numbers, symptomatic status criteria, test results, and study settings.
Main Results:
- Sixty-one studies were identified, utilizing either PCR testing (43 studies) for current infection or antibody testing (18 studies) for current/prior infection.
- In longitudinal studies (14), approximately 75% of individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 without initial symptoms remained asymptomatic.
- High-quality nationwide serosurveys from England and Spain suggest that at least one-third of all SARS-CoV-2 infections are asymptomatic.
Conclusions:
- Available evidence indicates that a substantial proportion (at least one-third) of SARS-CoV-2 infections are asymptomatic.
- Longitudinal data reinforce that a significant majority of initially asymptomatic individuals remain so, highlighting the role of asymptomatic cases in transmission.
- COVID-19 control strategies must be adapted to incorporate the prevalence and transmission potential of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections.
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