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Published on: December 19, 2020
Portable Chest Radiography as an Exclusionary Test for Adverse Clinical Outcomes During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Andrew Pagano1, Mark Finkelstein2, Jessica Overbey3
1Department of Radiology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY.
A negative chest X-ray (CXR) in patients suspected of COVID-19 effectively rules out adverse outcomes like hospital admission or mortality. This finding is particularly strong in younger adults with fewer comorbidities.
Area of Science:
- Radiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Chest radiography (CXR) is frequently used in acute settings for COVID-19 patients.
- The utility of a negative CXR in predicting outcomes for COVID-19 has not been clearly established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if portable CXR can serve as an effective exclusionary test for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with suspected COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of adult patients suspected of COVID-19 across five New York City emergency departments.
- Patients were categorized by the absence of findings on initial CXR.
- Primary outcomes included hospital admission, mechanical ventilation, ARDS, and mortality.
Main Results:
- Among 3,245 patients, 474 had negative initial CXRs.
- Negative CXR results were associated with low probabilities of adverse outcomes (e.g., hospital admission, mechanical ventilation, ARDS, mortality).
- In a subset of younger patients with symptoms for at least 5 days, no deaths occurred, and negative likelihood ratios for adverse outcomes were notably low.
Conclusions:
- Initial CXR in suspected COVID-19 cases is a robust exclusionary tool for adverse clinical outcomes.
- The exclusionary value of CXR is most pronounced in younger adults, those with minimal comorbidities, and individuals with prolonged symptom duration.
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