Risk factors of developing critical conditions in Iranian patients with COVID-19

Alireza Arman1, Maryam Tajik2, Maryam Nazemipour3

  • 1Medical-Surgical Department School of Nursing & Midwifery Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Global Epidemiology
|February 1, 2021
PubMed

Insights

Identifying risk factors for severe COVID-19 is crucial for managing limited medical resources. Cancer, chronic lung, and neurologic diseases significantly increase mortality risk in COVID-19 patients.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) emerged in Wuhan, China, leading to a global pandemic.
  • The Islamic Republic of Iran faces a high prevalence and disease burden of COVID-19.
  • Limited medical resources necessitate identifying factors predicting critical illness to optimize patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify risk factors associated with critical illness and death in COVID-19 patients.
  • To inform resource allocation and improve treatment strategies in high-burden regions.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective study including 12,677 patients with COVID-19 symptoms from 26 hospitals.
  • Data collected via university integrated IT system.
  • Logistic regression analysis used to determine associations between variables and mortality.

Main Results:

  • Cough, respiratory distress, and fever were the most frequent symptoms.
  • Cancer, chronic lung diseases, and chronic neurologic diseases emerged as the strongest predictors of mortality.
  • Analysis identified key demographic and clinical variables associated with adverse outcomes.

Conclusions:

  • Pre-existing conditions like cancer and chronic respiratory or neurologic diseases are significant risk factors for COVID-19 mortality.
  • These findings aid in risk stratification and targeted interventions for vulnerable COVID-19 patient populations.

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