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The Practical Alternative to the p Value Is the Correctly Used p Value
1Department of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences, Eindhoven University of Technology.
Summary
Researchers should focus on asking better statistical questions rather than solely relying on p-values. Statisticians should guide researchers on appropriate questions, potentially improving scientific inference and research quality.
Area of Science:
- Statistical inference
- Scientific methodology
- Research integrity
Background:
- Overreliance on p-values in scientific literature is a significant concern.
- Researchers often misinterpret p-values, impacting the quality of scientific research.
- Current discussions often focus on replacing p-values rather than improving statistical questioning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To advocate for a shift from solely focusing on p-values to improving the questions researchers ask.
- To highlight the "statistician's fallacy" in proposing alternatives to p-values.
- To emphasize the importance of understanding what researchers truly want to know.
Main Methods:
- Critique of the overreliance on p-values in scientific research.
- Discussion of the "statistician's fallacy" in statistical practice.
- Proposal for improved statistical education and user-centered software.
Main Results:
- The current focus on p-values and their alternatives distracts from fundamental issues in statistical questioning.
- Minimum-effect tests and equivalence tests can improve the questions researchers ask.
- Better statistical education and software are crucial for preventing p-value misinterpretation.
Conclusions:
- Improving statistical questions is a prerequisite for enhancing statistical inferences.
- Statisticians should educate researchers on the questions they can ask, not dictate what they want to know.
- Prioritizing evidence-based education and user-centered software can mitigate p-value misinterpretation and elevate research quality.
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