Development and validation of an individual alternative splicing prognostic signature in gastric cancer

Gastric cancer (GC) is a heterogeneous disease with different clinical manifestations and prognoses. Alternative splicing (AS) is a determinant of gene expression and contributes to protein diversity from a rather limited gene transcript in metazoans. AS events are associated with different aspects of cancer biology, including cell proliferation, apoptosis, invasion, etc. Here, we present a comprehensive analysis of the prognostic AS profile in GC. GC-specific AS (GCAS) events were analyzed, and overall survival-associated GCAS (OS-GCAS) events were verified among the genome-wide AS events identified in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. In total, 1,287 GCAS events of 837 genes and 173 OS-GCAS events of 130 genes were identified. The parental genes of OS-GCAS events were significantly enriched in the development of GC. Protein-protein interaction (PPI) and OS-GCAS-associated splicing factor (SF) interaction networks were constructed. Multivariate Cox regression analysis with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalty was performed to establish a prognostic risk formula, representing 23 OS-GCAS events. The low-risk group had better OS than the high-risk group and lower immune and stromal scores. Cox proportional hazard regression was applied to generate an AS-clinical integrated prognostic model with a considerable area under the curve (AUC) value in both the training and validation datasets. Our study provides a profile of OS-GCAS events and an AS-clinical nomogram to predict the prognosis of GC.