Spotlight on Cardiovascular Scoring Systems in Covid-19: Severity Correlations in Real-world Setting

Chiara Mozzini1, Sebastiano Cicco2, Angela Setti1

  • 1Department of Medicine, Section of Internal Medicine, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.

Insights

High cardiovascular risk in COVID-19 patients is linked to severe lung issues and death. The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) effectively identifies high-risk individuals, aiding clinical decisions and vaccine prioritization.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Radiology

Background:

  • Cardiovascular (CV) risk prediction models are crucial for identifying high-risk populations but remain largely unexplored in the context of COVID-19.
  • Understanding the interplay between CV risk and COVID-19 severity is essential for effective patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the association between established CV risk scoring systems and the severity of lung involvement on chest X-ray (CXR) in Italian COVID-19 patients.
  • To determine the predictive utility of CV risk scores for mortality and radiographic severity in this cohort.

Main Methods:

  • Assessed 50 Italian COVID-19 patients, applying the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) score.
  • Correlated CV risk scores with CXR findings (lung involvement severity) and patient outcomes (mortality).
  • Examined associations between CXR severity, hypertension, and diabetes.

Main Results:

  • The FRS was applicable to all patients, while the ASCVD score was applicable to half.
  • 62% of patients were high risk by FRS; 41% by ASCVD.
  • Higher FRS was associated with increased mortality (9.7x higher probability for FRS≥30) and was prevalent in non-survivors, who were all hypertensive.
  • Strong correlations (P < 0.001) were found between CXR severity and both FRS and ASCVD.
  • High CV risk patients more frequently exhibited lung consolidations on CXR.
  • CXR severity was significantly associated with hypertension and diabetes; these patients had an 8x greater risk of consolidations.

Conclusions:

  • High cardiovascular risk is correlated with more severe chest X-ray patterns and increased mortality in COVID-19 patients.
  • Hypertension and diabetes are linked to more severe lung involvement on CXR.
  • The Framingham Risk Score demonstrated superior predictive utility and suitability for this patient cohort, suggesting its value in clinical practice and for prioritizing high-risk groups for interventions like vaccination.
Abstract

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