Hope-Colored Glasses: Perceptions of Prognosis Among Pediatric Oncology Patients and Their Parents

Cancer patients' belief about prognosis can heavily influence medical decision making and goals of care. It is known that parents of children with cancer tend to be optimistic regarding their child's prognosis; however, little is known about pediatric patients' prognostic beliefs, how physicians' prognostic communication is perceived, and how these perceptions are compared with actual prognoses.

An original survey was administered to 100 pediatric oncology patients, age 10-18 years, and their parents from 2013 to 2015, at St Jude Children's Research Hospital. Patients were eligible for inclusion if they had an oncologic diagnosis, were between 1 month and 1 year from diagnosis, and were English speaking. Survey responses regarding perceived prognosis were compared with actual prognoses as determined from the medical record review and published literature. Analysis included descriptive statistics and association tests.

Nearly half of participants (patients = 48.9%, parents = 50.5%) displayed prognostic optimism as compared with the determined objective estimate of curative potential. The majority of both patients (78%) and parents (85%) reported belief in a very high chance of cure, although fewer reported that their physician communicated a very high chance for cure (patients = 57%, parents = 70%), and only 43% were determined to have a very high probability of cure. Significant differences were noted in prognostic optimism by cancer type (P < .0001); patients with solid tumor were more often optimistic (n = 25, 83.3% optimistic; n = 5, 16.7% accurate), and patients with lymphoma were most often accurate (n = 2, 8.7% optimistic; n = 21, 91.3% accurate).

Pediatric oncology patients and parents tend to be optimistic about their chance of cure, as compared to both perceived prognostic communication from physicians and objective estimated prognosis. Understanding the nature of prognostic optimism among patients with cancer and caregivers may empower clinicians to guide realistic decision making while supporting hope.