Plasma P-selectin is a predictor of mortality in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

The aim of the study was to assess the association of P-selectin with outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

This is a prospective, observational study of 130 HFpEF patients who underwent clinical profiling, blood sampling, 6 min walk testing, Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire evaluation, echocardiography, cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging, calculation of the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk scores, and blinded plasma P-selectin measurement. Patients were followed up for the endpoint of all-cause mortality. The HFpEF subgroup with higher P-selectin levels [overall median 26 372, inter-quartile range (19 360-34 889) pg/mL] was associated with lower age, higher heart rate, less prevalent atrial fibrillation, more frequent current smoking status, and lower right ventricular end-diastolic volumes. During follow-up (median 1428 days), there were 38 deaths. Following maximal sensitivity and specificity receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, P-selectin levels above 35 506 pg/mL were associated with greater risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 2.700; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.416-5.146; log-rank P = 0.002]. Following multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and when added to MAGGIC scores, only P-selectin (adjusted HR 1.707; 95% CI 1.099-2.650; P < 0.017) and myocardial infarction detected by cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (HR 2.377; 95% CI 1.114-5.075; P < 0.025) remained significant predictors. In a final model comprising all three parameters, only P-selectin (HR 1.447; 95% CI 1.130-1.853; P < 0.003) and MAGGIC scores (HR 1.555; 95% CI 1.136-2.129; P < 0.006) remained independent predictors of death. Adding P-selectin (0.618, P = 0.035) improved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for mortality prediction for MAGGIC scores (0.647, P = 0.009) to 0.710, P < 0.0001.

Plasma P-selectin is an independent predictor of mortality and provides incremental prognostic information beyond MAGGIC scores in HFpEF.