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Temporal and Spatial Evolution of China's Human Development Index and Its Determinants: An Extended Study Based on
Chengjun Liu1, Fuqiang Nie1, Dong Ren1
1School of Statistics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, No.555, Liutai Road, Wenjiang District, Chengdu, 611130 China.
Social Indicators Research
|March 15, 2021
Summary
China
Area of Science:
- Socioeconomic indicators
- Regional development studies
- Human capital measurement
Background:
- The new era development concept necessitates updated human development metrics.
- Existing human development indices may not fully capture China's unique context.
- Regional disparities in development require in-depth analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To expand and measure China's Human Development Index (CHDI) from 1990-2017.
- To analyze the spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of CHDI across 31 provinces.
- To provide policy recommendations for balanced regional development in China.
Main Methods:
- Construction of a novel CHDI system with four dimensions: life span, education, income, and sustainable development.
- Application of Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) to assess spatiotemporal patterns.
- Econometric analysis to identify key drivers of CHDI.
Main Results:
- Eastern China exhibits significantly higher CHDI than other regions, indicating substantial developmental gaps.
- CHDI demonstrates a positive spatial correlation and significant aggregation effects across provinces.
- Urbanization, education expenditure, and healthcare professionals positively impact CHDI, while carbon emissions negatively affect it.
Conclusions:
- Significant regional disparities in human development exist within China.
- CHDI is influenced by both internal factors and the development levels of neighboring provinces.
- Targeted policies addressing urbanization, education, healthcare, and environmental sustainability are crucial for improving CHDI and achieving balanced development.
Keywords:
Human development indexNew development conceptSpace–time analysisSpatial autoregressive modelSustainable developmentMore Related Videos
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