Evaluation of a multiparametric MRI scoring system for histopathologic treatment response following preoperative...

To evaluate the performance of a multiparametric (mp) MRI scoring system for assessment of tumour response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

Fifty-nine consecutive patients with LARC who had rectal MRI before and after CRT followed by surgery were included. Two radiologists retrospectively assessed tumour response using a proposed mpMRI scoring system. Treatment response was classified as complete, near complete, partial or poor. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive values were calculated and inter-reader agreements were assessed. Pathologic tumour regression grade (pTRG) was the reference standard.

Treatment response was correctly predicted by both readers in 32.2%-40.7% of patients. Overestimation was more common than underestimation. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV for pathologic complete response (pCR) among both readers was 16.7-33.0 %, 88.7-94.2 %, 14.3-40.0 % and 92.5-94.2 % respectively. Sensitivity and PPV for both readers improved to 56.0-60.0 % and 53.6-66.7 % respectively when complete response and near complete response categories (good responders) were combined. Inter-reader agreement using the scoring system was fair (κ = 0.383). Agreement between mpMRI score and pathological tumour response was poor to fair for both readers (κ = 0.050 to 0.258) but improved when complete and near complete response categories (good responders) were combined (κ = 0.214 to 0.362).

Despite low agreement between radiological tumour response and pTRG, the proposed mpMRI-based scoring system appears useful in identifying good responders who may benefit from nonoperative management strategies.