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Published on: December 19, 2020
Coronavirus Disease 2019: Initial Detection on Chest CT in a Retrospective Multicenter Study of 103 Chinese Patients
Zeying Wen1, Yonge Chi1, Liang Zhang1
1Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of CM, 19 Renmin Road, Zhengzhou 450000, Henan Province, China (Z.W., J.C., L.C., D.W.); Department of Radiology, The Fifth Hospital of Anyang, Anyang, China (Y.C.); Department of Radiology, Zhumadian Central Hospital, Zhumadian, China (L.Z.); GE Healthcare, Shanghai, China (H.L.); Department of Radiology, XinYang Central Hospital, Xinyang, China (K.D.); and Department of Radiology, Xinxian People's Hospital, Xinxin, China (Z.L.).
Insights
Chest CT scans show high sensitivity for initial detection of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in suspected patients. However, the modest negative predictive value indicates CT is not a reliable screening tool for COVID-19.
Area of Science:
- Radiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) emerged as a global health crisis.
- Accurate and timely diagnosis is crucial for patient management and disease control.
- Chest computed tomography (CT) is frequently used for initial assessment of patients with suspected COVID-19.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the diagnostic performance of chest CT scans in patients initially suspected of having COVID-19.
- To determine the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of chest CT for COVID-19 detection.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of data from 103 patients investigated for COVID-19.
- All patients underwent chest CT and reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing.
- Performance metrics (sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV) were calculated for chest CT.
Main Results:
- 85% of patients were confirmed to have COVID-19 by RT-PCR.
- Chest CT demonstrated high overall sensitivity (93%) and PPV (92%).
- The specificity (53%) and NPV (42%) of chest CT were modest, indicating potential for false negatives and positives.
Conclusions:
- Initial chest CT scans exhibit high sensitivity for detecting COVID-19 in suspected cases.
- The moderate NPV suggests chest CT alone is insufficient as a primary screening tool.
- RT-PCR testing remains essential for definitive COVID-19 diagnosis.
Purpose:
To evaluate the performance of chest CT regarding the initial presentation of patients suspected of having coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
Materials And Methods:
Data from 103 patients who were under investigation for COVID-19 based on inclusion criteria according to the World Health Organization Interim Guidance were retrospectively collected from January 21, 2020, to February 14, 2020. All patients underwent chest CT scanning and reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing for COVID-19 at hospital presentation. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) (with 95% confidence intervals) were calculated to evaluate the performance of CT. Subgroup analyses were also performed based on the geographical distribution of these cases in the province of Henan, China.
Results:
There were 88/103 (85%) patients with COVID-19 confirmed by RT-PCR testing. The overall sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 93% (85%, 97%), 53% (27%, 77%), 92% (83%, 96%), and 42% (18%, 70%), respectively. Similar results were shown in both geographic regions. The respective sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for chest CT in the districts of Xinyang and Zhumadian (n = 56) were 92% (80%, 97%), 63% (26%, 90%), 93% (81%, 98%), and 56% (23%, 85%), while these indicators in the district of Anyang (n = 47) were 95% (81%, 99%), 43% (12%, 80%), 90% (76%, 97%), and 60% (17%-93%). There were no significant differences in the prevalence of positive examinations in the two geographic subgroups for CT (P = .423) or RT-PCR (P = .931).
Conclusion:
Although initial chest CT obtained at hospital presentation showed high sensitivity in patients under investigation for COVID-19 in the two geographic regions in Henan Province, the NPV was only modest, suggesting a low value of CT as a screening tool.© RSNA, 2020.
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