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SARS-CoV-2 Spread Dynamics in Italy: The Calabria Experience
Ludovico Abenavoli1, Pietro Cinaglia2, Anna Caterina Procopio1
1Department of Health Sciences, University "Magna Graecia", 88100 Catanzaro , Italy.
Reviews on Recent Clinical Trials
|April 2, 2021
Summary
The Italian government's lockdown policy effectively contained the spread of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) in Calabria. Analysis showed a significant decrease in new cases after the lockdown measures were implemented, demonstrating policy success.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health Policy
Background:
- The first SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) case in Italy was recorded on February 21st, 2020, with Lombardy initially heavily impacted.
- Migratory waves led to the spread of the virus to Southern Italy, prompting government intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the trend of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) infections in Calabria between February 24th and September 8th, 2020.
- To evaluate the effectiveness of the Italian government's lockdown policy in containing the virus in a low-infection rate region.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of virus trends including new positives, change in total positives, and total cases.
- Inclusion of data on incubation, symptom resolution, and quarantine periods.
Main Results:
- A spike in cases on March 27th was linked to internal migration.
- The epidemic curve showed a decreasing trend post-lockdown, indicating policy effectiveness.
- A -94.51% trend was observed from May 4th to September 8th, signifying more recoveries than new cases.
Conclusions:
- The study demonstrates the effectiveness of the Italian government's lockdown policy in controlling SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) contagion in Calabria.
- Calabria maintained a low infection rate during the observed period due to these containment measures.
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