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Updated: Nov 10, 2025

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Uncertain-DeepSSM: From Images to Probabilistic Shape Models
Jadie Adams1,2, Riddhish Bhalodia1,2, Shireen Elhabian1,2
1Scientific Computing and Imaging Institute, University of Utah, UT, USA.
Summary
Uncertain-DeepSSM quantifies shape estimation uncertainty in deep learning models. This approach improves accuracy and trustworthiness for clinical applications, unlike previous overconfident methods.
Area of Science:
- Medical image analysis
- Deep learning in medical imaging
- Statistical shape modeling
Background:
- Statistical shape modeling (SSM) traditionally requires extensive manual segmentation and registration.
- Deep learning approaches like DeepSSM automate SSM but often produce overconfident predictions.
- Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for clinical trust and reliable diagnostic tools.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a unified model, Uncertain-DeepSSM, for quantifying uncertainty in deep learning-based SSM.
- To improve the trustworthiness of shape estimations for clinical applications.
- To enhance the accuracy of SSM while retaining the efficiency of end-to-end deep learning.
Main Methods:
- Proposed Uncertain-DeepSSM, a unified model integrating aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty quantification.
- Incorporated data-dependent aleatoric uncertainty by adapting the network to predict input variance.
- Utilized Monte Carlo dropout sampling for model-dependent epistemic uncertainty estimation.
Main Results:
- Uncertain-DeepSSM demonstrated improved accuracy compared to the original DeepSSM.
- The model successfully quantified both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.
- Maintained the end-to-end nature and minimal pre-processing benefits of DeepSSM.
Conclusions:
- Uncertain-DeepSSM provides a more trustworthy and accurate approach to statistical shape modeling using deep learning.
- Quantifying uncertainty is essential for the clinical translation of deep learning-based medical image analysis tools.
- The proposed method enhances diagnostic reliability by indicating the confidence of shape estimations.
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