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How epidemics end.

Erica Charters1, Kristin Heitman2

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Centaurus; International Magazine of the History of Science and Medicine
|April 6, 2021
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Epidemics rarely end definitively; their conclusions are social and political negotiations, not just biomedical events. Understanding these varied endings requires multidisciplinary analysis beyond linear narratives.

Keywords:
COVID‐19choleradisease modellingendemic diseaseepidemicsplague

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Social Sciences
  • History

Background:

  • Societies grapple with determining the end of the COVID-19 pandemic and resuming normal life.
  • Predicting the end of epidemics involves understanding societal markers and authoritative interpretation.
  • Past epidemics demonstrate that diseases seldom end abruptly, and their conclusion is rarely studied.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine scholarly perspectives on the end stages of previous epidemics.
  • To analyze the social, political, and economic dimensions of epidemic endings.
  • To highlight the multidisciplinary nature of understanding epidemic termination.

Main Methods:

  • Review of historical epidemic case studies.
  • Analysis of scholarly literature on epidemic trajectories.
  • Multidisciplinary research integrating social, political, and biomedical perspectives.

Main Results:

  • Epidemic endings are not sudden but gradual processes.
  • The conclusion of an epidemic is a social and political negotiation, not solely biomedical.
  • Epidemics end at different times for different populations and regions.

Conclusions:

  • The end of an epidemic is perceived differently based on temporal, geographic, and methodological viewpoints.
  • Epidemics should be viewed as cyclical rather than linear events with multiple endings.
  • A comprehensive understanding of epidemic endings necessitates a shift from linear narratives to cyclical frameworks.