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Published on: August 29, 2025
Theory of change models deepen online learning evaluation.
Olivia M Chesniak1, Denise Drane1, Celine Young2
1Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA.
This study introduces a new method for evaluating Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) for professional development. By applying theories of change, it focuses on how learning occurs and its impact on participants.
Area of Science:
- Educational Technology
- Professional Development Evaluation
- Online Learning Research
Background:
- Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) are increasingly used for professional development.
- Traditional MOOC evaluations often focus on participation and completion rates.
- There is a need for deeper understanding of learning processes and long-term outcomes in MOOCs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present a novel method for evaluating professional development MOOCs.
- To guide MOOC designers and evaluators in focusing on the learning process.
- To complement traditional MOOC evaluation approaches.
Main Methods:
- Developed a theory of change for each MOOC module in collaboration with content creators.
- Utilized the theory of change to evaluate short- and medium-term cognitive, affective, and behavioral outcomes.
- Applied this approach to a professional development MOOC for postdoctoral trainees.
Main Results:
- The theory of change approach provided a framework for understanding the learning process within MOOCs.
- Enabled evaluation of a wider range of participant outcomes beyond completion rates.
- Offered insights into how learning translates to cognitive, affective, and behavioral changes.
Conclusions:
- Theories of change offer a valuable framework for designing and evaluating MOOCs.
- This method enhances the depth of MOOC evaluation by focusing on the learning journey.
- Recommendations are provided for implementing theories of change in MOOC development and assessment.
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