Predictive Factors of Perioperative Stroke-Related Mortality Following Vascular Surgery: A Retrospective Analysis

Vascular surgical procedures have one of the highest risks of perioperative stroke and stroke-related mortality, yet the independent risk factors contributing to this increased mortality have not been described. Perioperative strokes are thought to result from a combination of embolism and hypoperfusion mechanisms. The purpose of this study is to describe the independent predictors of perioperative stroke-related mortality in the vascular surgical population using the Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) database which collects cause of death data.

This retrospective, case-control study evaluated 4,128 patients aged 18-99 who underwent a vascular, non-carotid surgical procedure and subsequently suffered perioperative mortality. Common surgical comorbidities and risk factors for perioperative stroke, including carotid stenosis and atrial fibrillation, were evaluated in multivariate regression analysis.

Patients with carotid stenosis were 2.6 (aOR, 95% CI 1.4-4.5) times more likely to suffer perioperative mortality from stroke than from other causes. Additionally, in-hospital stroke, history of stroke, admission from a healthcare facility, and cancer were all positive predictive factors, whereas atrial fibrillation, emergency admission, hypertension, and diabetes were associated with decreased risk of perioperative stroke-related mortality.

Identification of vascular surgical population-specific predictors of stroke-related mortality can help to enhance preoperative risk-stratification tools and guide perioperative management of identified high-risk patients. Increased neurophysiologic monitoring in the perioperative period to prevent delays in diagnosis of perioperative stroke offers a strategy to reduce risk of perioperative stroke-related mortality in vascular surgical patients.