Tumor control probability in hypofractionated radiotherapy as a function of total and hypoxic tumor volumes

Clinical studies in the hypofractionated stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) have shown a reduction in the probability of local tumor control with increasing initial tumor volume. In our earlier work, we obtained and tested an analytical dependence of the tumor control probability (TCP) on the total and hypoxic tumor volumes using conventional radiotherapy model with the linear-quadratic (LQ) cell survival. In this work, this approach is further refined and tested against clinical observations for hypofractionated radiotherapy treatment schedules. Compared to radiotherapy with conventional fractionation schedules, simulations of hypofractionated radiotherapy may require different models for cell survival and the oxygen enhancement ratio (OER). Our TCP simulations in hypofractionated radiotherapy are based on the LQ model and the universal survival curve (USC) developed for the high doses used in SBRT. The predicted trends in local control as a function of the initial tumor volume were evaluated in SBRT for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Our results show that both LQ and USC based models cannot describe the TCP reduction for larger tumor volumes observed in the clinical studies if the tumor is considered completely oxygenated. The TCP calculations are in agreement with the clinical data if the subpopulation of radio-resistant hypoxic cells is considered with the volume that increases as initial tumor volume increases. There are two conclusions which follow from our simulations. First, the extent of hypoxia is likely a primary reason of the TCP reduction with increasing the initial tumor volume in SBRT for NSCLC. Second, the LQ model can be an acceptable approximation for the TCP calculations in hypofractionated radiotherapy if the tumor response is defined primarily by the hypoxic fraction. The larger value of OER in the hypofractionated radiotherapy compared to the conventional radiotherapy effectively extends the applicability of the LQ model to larger doses.