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This study analyzes an age-structured SEIR model with nonlinear incidence, proving global stability for disease-free and endemic states. Numerical simulations confirm the theoretical findings on infection persistence and stability.

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Area of Science:

  • Mathematical epidemiology
  • Dynamical systems theory

Background:

  • Age-structured SEIR models are crucial for understanding disease dynamics.
  • Nonlinear incidence functionals (NIF) introduce complex threshold behaviors.
  • Global asymptotic stability (GAS) analysis is essential for predicting long-term disease outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the global conduct of an age-structured SEIR system with NIF.
  • To analyze the global asymptotic stability (GAS) of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE).
  • To establish conditions for infection persistence.

Main Methods:

  • Rewriting the SEIR model as difference equations with infinite delay using the characteristic method.
  • Employing a Lyapunov functional (LF) to prove GAS for the DFE.
  • Utilizing the total trajectory method to bypass local equilibrium analysis.
  • Applying weakly persistence theory for the EE analysis.

Main Results:

  • Demonstrated threshold behavior in the SEIR model with NIF.
  • Established conditions for the global asymptotic stability (GAS) of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE).
  • Proved infection persistence and the GAS of the endemic equilibrium (EE) under specific conditions.

Conclusions:

  • The study provides a comprehensive analysis of an age-structured SEIR model with NIF.
  • Theoretical results on stability and persistence are supported by numerical simulations.
  • The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of epidemic dynamics and control strategies.