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Assessing the extent of community spread caused by mink-derived SARS-CoV-2 variants
Liang Wang1, Xavier Didelot2, Yuhai Bi1,3
1CAS Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Microbiology, Center for Influenza Research and Early-warning (CASCIRE), CAS-TWAS Center of Excellence for Emerging Infectious Diseases (CEEID), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
Abstract:
SARS-CoV-2 has recently been found to have spread from humans to minks and then to have transmitted back to humans. However, it is unknown to what extent the human-to-human transmission caused by the variant has reached. Here, we used publicly available SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences from both humans and minks collected in Denmark and the Netherlands, and combined phylogenetic analysis with Bayesian inference under an epidemiological model, to trace the possibility of person-to-person transmission. The results showed that at least 12.5% of all people being infected with dominated mink-derived SARS-CoV-2 variants in Denmark and the Netherlands were caused by human-to-human transmission, indicating that this "back-to-human" SARS-CoV-2 variant has already caused human-to-human transmission. Our study also indicated the need for monitoring this mink-derived and other animal source "back-to-human" SARS-CoV-2 in future and that prevention and control measures should be tailored to avoid large-scale community transmission caused by the virus jumping between animals and humans.
Insights
SARS-CoV-2 variants spread from humans to minks and back. At least 12.5% of mink-derived variant infections in Denmark and the Netherlands resulted from human-to-human transmission.
Area of Science:
- Veterinary Medicine
- Epidemiology
- Genomics
Background:
- Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has demonstrated interspecies transmission, notably from humans to mink.
- The potential for SARS-CoV-2 variants originating in mink to transmit back to humans and spread within the human population remains a significant concern.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the extent of human-to-human transmission of SARS-CoV-2 variants derived from mink.
- To analyze the epidemiological impact of mink-to-human and subsequent human-to-human transmission events.
Main Methods:
- Phylogenetic analysis of publicly available SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences from humans and mink in Denmark and the Netherlands.
- Application of Bayesian inference within an epidemiological model to trace transmission pathways.
Main Results:
- At least 12.5% of infections with dominant mink-derived SARS-CoV-2 variants in Denmark and the Netherlands were attributed to human-to-human transmission.
- Evidence confirms that SARS-CoV-2 variants originating in mink have successfully established human-to-human transmission.
Conclusions:
- The findings highlight the established human-to-human transmission of mink-derived SARS-CoV-2 variants.
- Emphasizes the critical need for ongoing surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants originating from animal reservoirs (like mink) and their potential for zoonotic re-emergence.
- Recommends tailored prevention and control strategies to mitigate large-scale community transmission resulting from animal-to-human virus spillover events.
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