Kidney outcomes using a sustained ≥40% decline in eGFR: A meta-analysis of SGLT2 inhibitor trials

A recent meta-analysis of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor outcome trials reported that SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with reduction in the risk of adverse composite kidney outcomes, with moderate heterogeneity across the trials; however, the endpoints were defined differently across the trials.

The apparent heterogeneity of the meta-analysis of kidney composite outcomes of SGLT2 inhibitor trials will be substantially reduced by using a consistent assessment of sustained ≥40% decline in eGFR/chronic kidney dialysis/transplantation/renal death across trials.

We performed a meta-analysis of kidney composite outcomes from the four SGLT2 cardiovascular outcome trial programs conducted in general type 2 diabetes mellitus populations, which included, as a surrogate of progression to kidney failure, a sustained ≥40% decline in eGFR along with kidney replacement therapy and kidney death. The trials assessed were VERTIS CV (NCT01986881), CANVAS Program (NCT01032629 and NCT01989754), DECLARE-TIMI 58 (NCT01730534), and EMPA-REG OUTCOME (NCT01131676).

Data from the trials comprised 42 516 individual participants; overall, 998 composite kidney events occurred. SGLT2 inhibition was associated with a significant reduction in the kidney composite endpoint (HR 0.58 [95% CI 0.51-0.65]) and with a highly consistent effect across the trials (Q statistic p = .64; I²  = 0.0%).

Our meta-analysis highlights the value of using similarly defined endpoints across trials and supports the finding of consistent protection against kidney disease progression with SGLT2 inhibitors as a class in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who either have established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease or are at high cardiovascular risk with multiple cardiovascular risk factors.