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Updated: Nov 1, 2025

Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study
Published on: February 2, 2017
COVID-19 Leads to Accelerated Increases in Children's BMI z-Score Gain: An Interrupted Time-Series Study
R Glenn Weaver1, Ethan T Hunt1, Bridget Armstrong1
1Department of Exercise Science, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina.
Insights
The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated children's Body Mass Index (BMI) z-score changes, indicating unhealthy weight gain. Urgent public health interventions are needed globally to address this trend in pediatric populations.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Health
- Public Health Nutrition
- Epidemiology
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic presented unprecedented challenges to child health.
- School closures, food insecurity, and reduced physical activity opportunities may have negatively impacted children's weight status.
- Understanding these impacts is crucial for developing targeted interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on children's Body Mass Index (BMI) z-score changes.
- To quantify the acceleration in BMI z-score change before and during the pandemic year.
- To identify potential disparities in pandemic-related weight status changes among different child subgroups.
Main Methods:
- An interrupted time-series study design was employed.
- Height and weight data were collected from 1,770 children (mean age 8.7 years, 55.3% male, 64.6% Black) annually from 2017 to 2020.
- Mixed-effects linear regression models estimated yearly BMI z-score changes, with subgroup analyses conducted by sex, race, weight status, and grade level.
Main Results:
- Children's yearly BMI z-score change significantly accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic year (+0.31, 95% CI=0.19, 0.44) compared to pre-pandemic years.
- This acceleration was observed across both girls (+0.33) and boys (+0.29), and across racial groups including Black (+0.41) and White (+0.22) children.
- Children with normal weight experienced a substantial acceleration in BMI z-score change (+0.58), as did those in lower (+0.23) and upper (+0.42) elementary grades.
Conclusions:
- The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant acceleration in children's BMI z-score, suggesting rapid unhealthy weight gain.
- These findings highlight the urgent need for global public health interventions to mitigate the adverse effects of the pandemic on pediatric weight status.
- Further research should explore the long-term consequences and effective strategies for addressing this public health concern.
Introduction:
The COVID-19 pandemic may have negatively impacted children's weight status owing to the closure of schools, increased food insecurity and reliance on ultraprocessed foods, and reduced opportunities for outdoor activity.
Methods:
In this interrupted time-series study, height and weight were collected from children (n=1,770 children, mean age=8.7 years, 55.3% male, 64.6% Black) and were transformed into BMI z-score in each August/September from 2017 to 2020. Mixed-effects linear regression estimated yearly BMI z-score change before the COVID-19 pandemic year (i.e., 2017-2019) and during the COVID-19 pandemic year (i.e., 2019-2020). Subgroup analyses by sex, race (i.e., Black, White, other race), weight status (overweight or obese and normal weight), and grade (i.e., lower=kindergarten-2nd grade and upper=3rd-6th grade) were conducted.
Results:
Before the COVID-19 pandemic, children's yearly BMI z-score change was +0.03 (95% CI= -0.10, 0.15). Change during the COVID-19 pandemic was +0.34 (95% CI=0.21, 0.47), an acceleration in BMI z-score change of +0.31 (95% CI=0.19, 0.44). For girls and boys, BMI z-score change accelerated by +0.33 (95% CI=0.16, 0.50) and +0.29 (95% CI=0.12, 0.46), respectively, during the pandemic year. Acceleration in BMI z-score change during the pandemic year was observed for children who were Black (+0.41, 95% CI=0.21, 0.61) and White (+0.22, 95% CI=0.06, 0.39). For children classified as normal weight, BMI z-score change accelerated by +0.58 (95% CI=0.40, 0.76). Yearly BMI z-score change accelerated for lower elementary/primary (+0.23, 95% CI=0.08, 0.37) and upper elementary/primary (+0.42, 95% CI=0.42, 0.63) children.
Conclusions:
If similar BMI z-score accelerations occurred for children across the world, public health interventions to address this rapid unhealthy BMI gain will be urgently needed.
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