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A 12 Years Neonatal Mortality Rate and Its Predictors in Eastern Ethiopia
Merga Dheresa1, Gamachis Daraje2
1Haramaya University, Haramaya, Oromia, Ethiopia.
Insights
Neonatal mortality in Eastern Ethiopia remains high, with a rate of 20.3 per 1000 live births. Key risk factors include rural birth, lack of antenatal care, low birthweight, and preterm birth.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Neonatal Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Neonatal survival is critical for poverty reduction, but mortality rates vary significantly by location.
- Understanding neonatal mortality trends and determinants is essential for targeted interventions in Eastern Ethiopia.
- Existing data on neonatal mortality in the study area is limited, necessitating further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the annual neonatal mortality rate in Eastern Ethiopia from 2008 to 2019.
- To identify factors associated with neonatal mortality through a pregnancy observation cohort study.
- To provide evidence for improving neonatal survival strategies in the region.
Main Methods:
- A cohort study was conducted using data from the Kersa Health Demographic Surveillance System (KHDSS) in Eastern Ethiopia.
- Data included 38,541 live births and 776 neonatal deaths between January 1, 2008, and December 30, 2019.
- Cox proportional regression models were employed to analyze predictors of neonatal mortality.
Main Results:
- The cumulative average neonatal mortality rate was 20.3 per 1000 live births, showing a declining trend (β = -1.60).
- Significant risk factors for neonatal death included birth in rural Kersa (AHR = 5.31), lack of antenatal care (AHR = 1.43), low birthweight (AHR = 2.59), and preterm birth (AHR = 12.10).
Conclusions:
- Neonatal mortality in the study area significantly exceeds national and global targets.
- Interventions should focus on addressing rural disparities, promoting antenatal care, and managing low birthweight and preterm births.
- Further efforts are needed to improve neonatal survival rates in Eastern Ethiopia.
Abstract:
Introduction. Surviving and thriving of newborn is essential to ending extreme poverty. However, the surviving and thriving of new born is depends on where neonates are born. The true feature of neonatal mortality rate and trends is not well known in the study area. Thus, we aimed to estimate a neonatal mortality incidence in each year, and determine factors associated though pregnancy observation cohort study in Eastern Ethiopia. Methods. The study was conducted in Kersa Health Demographic Surveillance System (KHDSS) among 36 kebeles. We extracted all events (38 541 live birth and 776 neonatal death) occurred between January 1, 2008 and December 30, 2019. Neonatal mortality rate was presented by neonatal death per 1000 live birth with 95% confidence interval in each years, and trends of neonatal morality was described with line regression. Cox proportional regression model was used to assess predictors and presented with an adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) and 95% CI. Results. The estimated cumulative average of neonatal mortality rate in this study was 20.3 (95% CI: 18.9-21.8) per 1000 live births. The rate was decline with regression coefficient β = -1.60. Risk of neonatal death was found to be significantly associated with neonate born to mother living in rural Kersa (AHR = 5.31; 95% CI: 3.07-9.18), born to mother not receiving antenatal care (AHR = 1.43; 95% CI: 1.15-1.78), low birthweight (AHR = 2.59; 95% CI: 2.05-3.27), and preterm newborn (AHR = 12.10; 95% CI: 9.23-15.86). Conclusion. Neonatal mortality in the study site is far from reaching the national and global target goals.
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