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The July Phenomenon and Pediatric Trauma
Sarah C Stokes1, Kaeli J Yamashiro1, Erin G Brown1
1Department of Surgery, University of California-Davis, Sacramento, California.
Insights
The July Phenomenon, a concern for worse patient outcomes in July, did not impact pediatric trauma patients. Standardized care at a level I trauma center ensured similar morbidity and mortality regardless of admission month.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Trauma Care
- Healthcare Management
- Patient Outcomes
Background:
- The July Phenomenon suggests potential negative impacts on patient outcomes due to the academic year transition.
- Concerns exist regarding increased morbidity and mortality for patients presenting in July.
- Standardized protocols in pediatric trauma care may mitigate these effects.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of the July Phenomenon on pediatric trauma patient outcomes.
- To determine if early academic year presentation affects mortality or morbidity in pediatric trauma.
- To evaluate the effect of admission month on patient outcomes in a level I pediatric trauma center.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of pediatric trauma patients (≤16 years) from March 2009 to March 2019.
- Comparison of patient outcomes based on month of presentation.
- Multivariable regression analysis to assess the influence of July admissions on mortality, complications, and length of stay.
Main Results:
- Analysis included 6,135 pediatric trauma patients, with 605 presenting in July.
- Univariate analysis showed no consistent increase in mortality, complications, or length of stay for July admissions.
- Multivariate analysis confirmed that July admission was not an independent predictor of adverse outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Pediatric trauma patients at this level I center experience similar outcomes regardless of early or late academic year presentation.
- This study found no evidence of the July Phenomenon impacting pediatric trauma patient outcomes.
- Standardized care likely contributes to consistent patient outcomes throughout the year.
Background:
The July Phenomenon describes concerns that patients presenting early in the academic year experience worse outcomes. Given the standardized approach to pediatric trauma patients, we hypothesized that the July Phenomenon would not impact morbidity or mortality.
Methods:
A retrospective review of patients ≤16 Y presenting to a level I pediatric trauma center between March 2009 and March2019 was performed. Pediatric patients admitted during the study period were compared for differences in outcome by month of presentation. The primary outcome was mortality. Secondary outcomes were complications, and length of emergency department, hospital and Intensive Care Unit stay. Multivariable regression was used to evaluate the effect of month of admission on outcomes.
Results:
A total of 6,135 patients were evaluated, with 605 patients presenting in July. Univariate analysis failed to demonstrate consistently increased mortality, complications, or length of emergency department, hospital or Intensive Care Unit stay in July compared to months later in the academic year. On multivariate analysis, admission in July was not an independent predictor of worse outcomes.
Conclusions:
In this level I pediatric trauma center, pediatric trauma patients presenting earlier in the academic year have similar outcomes to those presenting later, and there is no evidence of a July Phenomenon in this population.
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