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Development and validation of a magnetic resonance imaging-based nomogram for predicting invasive forms of placental
Qiang Li1, Hang Zhou1, Kefeng Zhou2
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Aim:
The aim of the study was to develop and validate a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based nomogram for predicting invasive forms of placental accreta spectrum (PAS) disorders (placenta increta and percreta) with "uncertain ultrasound diagnosis."
Methods:
This was a retrospective cohort study of a primary cohort of 118 patients and a validation cohort of 65 patients with "uncertain ultrasound diagnosis," who were further evaluated by MRI. MRI signs associated with PAS disorders were analyzed between invasive and noninvasive groups by both univariate and logistic regression to construct the nomogram. The accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were measured by concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve internally and externally.
Results:
The history of previous cesarean deliveries (odds ratio [OR], 3.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-9.27), loss of double-line sign (OR, 9.49; 95% CI, 3.06-29.48), abnormal uterine bulging (OR, 4.05; 95% CI, 1.53-10.69), and disorganized abnormal placenta vascularity (OR, 3.38; 95% CI, 1.09-10.50) were imputed for the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.85 for internal validation and 0.84 for external validation. Calibration curve showed good agreement with predicted risk and actual observation for both primary and validation cohort.
Conclusions:
MRI can be a useful adjunct for clinical staging of patients with "uncertain ultrasound diagnosis."
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