Risk of Incident Heart Failure in Individuals With Early-Onset Type 2 Diabetes

Early-onset diabetes has been associated with unfavorable cardiovascular risk but data on heart failure (HF) in this subpopulation are scarce.

We aimed to study the risk of, and risk factors for, incident HF in individuals with early-onset type 2 diabetes.

We studied 606 individuals with type 2 diabetes diagnosed before 40 years of age (early-onset) and 1258 counterparts with diabetes diagnosed from 41 to 65 years of age (usual-onset) with no HF history, at a regional hospital, over a median follow-up period of 7.1 years. Incident HF by European Cardiology Society criteria was determined.

A total of 62 and 108 HF events were identified in the early- and usual-onset groups (1.55 and 1.29 per 100 patient-years), respectively. Compared with usual-onset counterparts, individuals with early-onset diabetes had a 1.20-fold unadjusted (95% CI, 0.88-1.63; P = 0.26) and 1.91-fold age-adjusted (95% CI, 1.37-2.66; P < 0.001) hazard ratio (HR) for incident HF. Adjustment for traditional cardiometabolic risk factors only moderately mitigated the hazards (adjusted HR 1.69; 95% CI, 1.19-2.40; P = 0.003). However, additional adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria markedly attenuated the association of early-onset age with incident HF (adjusted HR 1.24; 95% CI, 0.87-1.77; P = 0.24). Notably, a long diabetes duration was not significantly associated with HF risk after accounting for kidney measures.

Individuals with early-onset diabetes have at least the same absolute risk and a 2-fold age-adjusted relative risk for incident HF. Excess cardiorenal risk factors but not a long diabetes duration are main drivers for HF development in this diabetic population.