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PESI score for predicting clinical outcomes in PE patients with right ventricular involvement
Sharon Shalom Natanzon1, Alexander Fardman2, Fernando Chernomordik2
1Cardiovascular Division, Intensive Cardiac Care Unit and Department of Cardiology, Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. sharonnatanzon@gmail.com.
Insights
The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) effectively predicts adverse outcomes in normotensive patients with right ventricular involvement. Higher PESI scores correlate with increased risk, aiding in better risk stratification for these heterogeneous pulmonary embolism cases.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Pulmonology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Pulmonary embolism (PE) with right ventricular (RV) involvement presents a heterogeneous patient group requiring precise risk stratification.
- Existing risk scores may not fully capture the adverse event potential in normotensive PE patients with RV dysfunction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the efficacy of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) in predicting adverse clinical outcomes.
- To compare the predictive performance of PESI against the BOVA score in this specific patient cohort.
Main Methods:
- A consecutive series of normotensive PE patients with RV involvement were analyzed.
- Patients were stratified by admission PESI score (≤III vs. ≥IV).
- Primary outcomes included hemodynamic instability and in-hospital mortality; secondary outcomes encompassed mechanical ventilation, thrombolysis, AKI, and major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression and C-statistic analysis were employed.
Main Results:
- The PESI score independently predicted adverse outcomes (HR 4.81, p=0.031), with risk increasing progressively with higher PESI grades (p-trend <0.001).
- The PESI score demonstrated superior predictive accuracy (AUC=0.746) compared to the BOVA score (AUC=0.679).
- Twenty percent of patients experienced at least one adverse event, with higher rates observed in intermediate-high risk groups.
Conclusions:
- The PESI score is a valuable tool for risk stratification in normotensive PE patients with RV involvement.
- Utilizing PESI aids in identifying patients at higher risk for adverse events, potentially guiding clinical management decisions.
Abstract:
Pulmonary embolism (PE) patients with right ventricular (RV) involvement are a heterogenous group who mandate further risk stratification. Our objective was to evaluate the efficacy of the PE severity index (PESI) for predicting adverse clinical outcomes among PE patients with RV involvement. Consecutive normotensive PE patients with RV involvement were allocated according to admission PESI score (PESI ≤ III vs. PESI ≥ IV). The primary outcome included hemodynamic instability and in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included each component of the primary outcome as well as mechanical ventilation, thrombolytic therapy, acute kidney injury, and major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression model was performed to assess the independent association between the PESI score and primary outcome. C-Statistic was used to compare the PESI with the BOVA score. A total of 253 patients were evaluated: 95 (38%) with a PESI ≥ IV. Of them, 82 (32%) patients were classified as intermediate-low risk and 171 (68%) as intermediate-high risk. Fifty (20%) patients had at least 1 adverse event. Multivariate analysis demonstrated the PESI to be an independent predictor for the primary outcome (HR 4.81, CI 95%, 1.15-20.09, p = 0.031), which was increased with a concomitant increase of the PESI score (PESI I 4.2%, PESI II 3.4%, PESI III 12%, PESI IV 16.3%, PESI V 23.1%, p for trend < 0.001). C-Statistic analysis for the PESI score yielded an AUC-0.746 (0.637-0.854), p = 0.001, compared to the BOVA score: AUC-0.679 (0.584-0.775), p = 0.011. PESI score was found to predict adverse outcomes among normotensive PE patients with RV involvement.
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