Risk factors for left atrial thrombus or spontaneous echo contrast in non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients with

Jindong Chen1, Mengmeng Zhou1, Hao Wang1

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.

Insights

Elevated fibrinogen and enlarged left atrium (LA) are key risk factors for left atrial thrombus (LAT) or spontaneous echo contrast (LASEC) in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores. Incorporating these factors improves risk prediction accuracy.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Internal Medicine
  • Thrombosis Research

Background:

  • Left atrial thrombus (LAT) and spontaneous echo contrast (LASEC) are complications in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).
  • Existing risk stratification scores like CHA₂DS₂-VASc may underestimate risk in NVAF patients with low scores.
  • Limited data exists on specific risk factors for LAT/LASEC in this low-risk subgroup.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify and evaluate risk factors for LAT/LASEC in NVAF patients with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores.
  • To assess the predictive value of novel risk factors when added to the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective observational study analyzing transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) data from 3056 NVAF patients with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores.
  • Binary logistic regression and propensity score matching (PSM) were used to identify independent risk factors.
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis evaluated the enhanced predictive model.

Main Results:

  • Elevated fibrinogen levels and enlarged left atrium (LA) were identified as significant risk factors for LAT/LASEC.
  • PSM confirmed fibrinogen and LA size as independent predictors.
  • Adding fibrinogen and left atrial diameter (LAD) to the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score significantly improved LAT/LASEC prediction accuracy (AUC difference = 0.241).

Conclusions:

  • Elevated fibrinogen and enlarged LA are independent risk factors for LAT/LASEC in low-risk NVAF patients.
  • Integrating fibrinogen and LAD into risk assessment models can enhance the prediction of LAT/LASEC.
  • Further validation studies are recommended to confirm these findings.
Abstract

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