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Census Technology, Politics, and Institutional Change, 1790-2020
Steven Ruggles1, Diana L Magnuson2
1University of Minnesota.
Political factors influenced Census Bureau technology for data tabulation. Privatization since the 1990s increased costs and led to near failures in recent censuses.
Area of Science:
- Sociology
- Public Administration
- History of Technology
Background:
- The U.S. Census Bureau's methods for converting individual responses into published data have evolved significantly.
- Political considerations have historically influenced not only the census content but also its operational mechanics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To trace the historical development of census data processing technologies.
- To analyze the impact of political and societal shifts on bureaucratic decision-making in census operations.
- To examine the changing relationship between the Census Bureau and the private sector in technology development.
Main Methods:
- Historical analysis of Census Bureau methods and technology.
- Examination of federal responses to technical challenges in census data processing.
- Case study focusing on the privatization of data capture and processing operations.
Main Results:
- Political considerations have consistently shaped census content, applications, and operational mechanics.
- The Census Bureau historically resisted private sector involvement in data processing.
- Beginning in the mid-1990s, privatization of data capture and processing led to escalating costs, reduced productivity, and significant operational failures in the 2000 and 2010 censuses.
Conclusions:
- Shifting societal preoccupations have long-term effects on bureaucratic decision-making regarding census technology.
- The privatization of census data processing introduced substantial risks and challenges.
- The historical trajectory highlights the critical and evolving role of both the state and private sector in technological development.
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