Attempt at predicting paraphrenic outcome in young, first admitted schizophrenic patients

A sample of 110 consecutive first admission young schizophrenic patients treated between 1964 and 1967 was rediagnosed in 1981. Among 92 survivors, 27 could be labelled as paraphrenics. From information available at inception 97 variables were coded covering such areas as personality, previous disturbances, age and type of onset, and symptoms around admission. Sixty-three out of 97 variables were hypothesized to differentiate, at admission, future paraphrenics from the rest of the sample. Paraphrenics were found to have had less contact disturbance, better self-esteem, less neurotic symptoms in adolescence and childhood, and less complaints of unhappiness when growing up. They had more regressive and paranoid symptoms at admission, were older at onset of the disease, which was more acute, more often connected with precipitating events, and confusion. Certain non-regressive symptoms such as brooding, anhedonia and concentration difficulties were less common. A discriminant analysis yielded a proportion of correct predictions = 0.64 (p less than 0.05). The results are in accordance with the theory of more favourable energetic and organizational capacity in paranoid schizophrenics as compared with non-paranoids.