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Risk Assessment and Post-Release Recidivism in a Sample of Juvenile Homicide Offenders
James T Hubbell1, Kathleen M Heide2, Norair Khachatryan2
1University at Albany, State University of New York, USA.
Summary
Recent juvenile justice rulings prompt questions about released offenders. Criminology research found that risk scores did not predict recidivism in male juvenile homicide offenders (JHOs).
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Juvenile Justice
- Forensic Psychology
Background:
- Recent U.S. Supreme Court decisions address the constitutionality of life sentences for juveniles.
- This has raised critical questions about the long-term adjustment and recidivism risk of these offenders upon release.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the predictive validity of the Youth Level of Supervision/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) risk assessment tool.
- To assess recidivism rates among released male juvenile homicide offenders (JHOs) sentenced as adults.
Main Methods:
- Calculated risk scores for 59 male JHOs using the eight domains of the YLS/CMI.
- Analyzed recidivism (general arrests and violent offenses) in 48 released JHOs using chi-square analyses.
Main Results:
- Risk scores derived from the YLS/CMI failed to predict general recidivism.
- Risk scores also failed to predict violent recidivism among the released JHOs.
Conclusions:
- The YLS/CMI may not be a reliable predictor of recidivism for this specific population of juvenile homicide offenders.
- Further research is needed to identify more effective methods for assessing the risk of released juvenile offenders.
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