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Survival Analysis of Symptomatic COVID-19 in Phuentsholing Municipality, Bhutan
Kinley Gyeltshen1, Tsheten Tsheten2, Sither Dorji1
1Phuentsholing Hospital, Chukha 21102, Bhutan.
Insights
COVID-19 vaccination significantly reduces the likelihood of developing symptoms. Frontline and mini-dry port workers face higher risks of symptomatic COVID-19 compared to returning travelers.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, necessitates understanding risk factors for symptom development.
- Bhutan's Phuentsholing isolation ward managed diverse COVID-19 positive cases, including travelers and local populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors associated with developing symptoms in COVID-19 positive patients.
- To analyze data from the Phuentsholing COVID-19 isolation ward between May 2020 and May 2021.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study design.
- Utilized Cox proportional hazards regression model to identify risk factors for symptom development.
- Analyzed data from 521 COVID-19 positive patients.
Main Results:
- Vaccinated individuals were 77% less likely to develop COVID-19 symptoms (p=0.047).
- Frontline workers (OR=15, p=0.031) and mini-dry port (MDP) workers (OR=41, p<0.001) had significantly higher odds of being symptomatic.
- Common symptoms included cough (31.0%), fever (26.0%), and headache (19.0%).
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 vaccination is a protective factor against symptom development.
- Occupational exposure, particularly for frontline and MDP workers, increases symptomatic risk.
- The young and economically active population were most affected, highlighting the need for targeted public health interventions.
Abstract:
COVID-19 is a disease that is caused by a highly transmissible and pathogenic novel coronavirus: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). All of the COVID-19 positive cases in Bhutanese travellers returning via the Phuentsholing point of entry, the local population, and Indian nationals were isolated in the Phuentsholing COVID-19 isolation ward, Bhutan. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for developing symptoms among COVID-19 positive patients in this ward. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the data regarding COVID-19 positive cases in the Phuentsholing COVID-19 isolation ward from 28 May 2020 to 31 May 2021. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify the risk factors of developing COVID-19 symptoms. There were 521 patients in the study; 368 (70.6%) were males and 153 (29.4%) were females. The mean age was 32 years (with a range of 1-78 years), and 290 (56.0%) reported at least one symptom. The median length of isolation was eight days (with a range of 3-48 days). The common symptoms were: cough (162, 31.0%), fever (135, 26.0%), and headache (101, 19.0%). In the multivariable Cox regression, vaccinated patients were 77.0% (p = 0.047) less likely to develop symptoms compared to those who were not vaccinated. The front line workers and the mini-dry port (MDP) workers were 15 (p = 0.031) and 41 (p < 0.001) times more likely to be symptomatic compared to returning travellers. The young and economically active population group was most commonly affected by COVID-19. The presence of risk factors, such as being front line workers, MDP workers, or not being vaccinated against COVID-19, meant that patients had a higher probability of developing symptoms of COVID-19.
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