Related Experiment Video
Updated: Oct 15, 2025

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Derivation and Validation of Genome-Wide Polygenic Score for Ischemic Heart Failure
Ishan Paranjpe1,2,3, Noah L Tsao4, Jessica K De Freitas2,3,5
1The Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized MedicineIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai New York NY.
Insights
A new polygenic risk score (PRS) for heart failure (HF) effectively identifies patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) at higher risk. This HF-PRS tool aids in stratifying risk for ischemic HF in individuals with CAD.
Area of Science:
- Genetics
- Cardiology
- Precision Medicine
Background:
- Mortality from ischemic heart failure (HF) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remains high despite advances in management.
- Genetics plays a partial role in HF, and reliable risk stratification tools are lacking.
- Developing a polygenic risk score (PRS) for HF in CAD patients is crucial for improved risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a polygenic risk score (HF-PRS) for predicting HF in patients with CAD.
- To assess the association of HF-PRS with ischemic HF, independent of obstructive CAD.
- To evaluate the performance of HF-PRS in a high-risk subgroup of CAD patients.
Main Methods:
- Utilized summary statistics from a genome-wide association study for HF.
- Developed candidate PRSs using pruning and thresholding and LDPred in the Mount Sinai BioMe CAD cohort (N=6274).
- Validated the best-performing score in the Penn Medicine BioBank cohort (N=7250) and performed subgroup analysis.
Main Results:
- HF-PRS showed a significant association with ischemic HF in European ancestry patients with CAD in both cohorts (OR 1.14 and 1.07 per SD).
- The association remained significant after adjusting for obstructive CAD.
- In a high-risk subgroup, individuals in the top 10th percentile of HF-PRS had double the odds of ischemic HF compared to the bottom 10th percentile.
Conclusions:
- A polygenic risk score for HF (HF-PRS) can effectively stratify risk in patients with coronary artery disease.
- HF-PRS demonstrates potential as a tool for identifying individuals at elevated risk of ischemic HF.
- Further prospective studies are warranted to confirm clinical utility for patient care.
Abstract:
Background Despite advances in cardiovascular disease and risk factor management, mortality from ischemic heart failure (HF) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remains high. Given the partial role of genetics in HF and lack of reliable risk stratification tools, we developed and validated a polygenic risk score for HF in patients with CAD, which we term HF-PRS. Methods and Results Using summary statistics from a recent genome-wide association study for HF, we developed candidate PRSs in the Mount Sinai BioMe CAD patient cohort (N=6274) by using the pruning and thresholding method and LDPred. We validated the best score in the Penn Medicine BioBank (N=7250) and performed a subgroup analysis in a high-risk cohort who had undergone coronary catheterization. We observed a significant association between HF-PRS score and ischemic HF even after adjusting for evidence of obstructive CAD in patients of European ancestry in both BioMe (odds ratio [OR], 1.14 per SD; 95% CI, 1.05-1.24; P=0.003) and Penn Medicine BioBank (OR, 1.07 per SD; 95% CI, 1.01-1.13; P=0.016). In European patients with CAD in Penn Medicine BioBank who had undergone coronary catheterization, individuals in the top 10th percentile of PRS had a 2-fold increased odds of ischemic HF (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.7; P=0.02) compared with the bottom 10th percentile. Conclusions A PRS for HF enables risk stratification in patients with CAD. Future prospective studies aimed at demonstrating clinical utility are warranted for adoption in the patient setting.
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