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Analysis of linear growth using a mathematical model. II. From 3 to 21 years of age

J Karlberg1, J G Fryer, I Engström

  • 1Department of Anatomy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.

Insights

The ICP growth model analyzes healthy child growth, including puberty variations. It offers new standards for evaluating individual growth patterns and predicting final height.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Human Growth and Development
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Linear growth in children is complex, influenced by distinct phases: infancy, childhood, and puberty.
  • Individual variations in pubertal timing and growth spurt shape present challenges for standard growth assessment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the ICP (Infancy, Childhood, and Puberty) growth model's ability to describe and evaluate individual growth patterns in healthy children.
  • To emphasize the model's utility in accounting for variations in pubertal timing and pubertal growth spurt characteristics.
  • To outline the model's application for longitudinal growth evaluation over various periods.

Main Methods:

  • Longitudinal analysis of growth data from 157 healthy infants using the ICP growth model.
  • Development and application of ICP-based reference standards ('ICP Standard', 'Prepubertal ICP Standard', 'Pubertal ICP Standard').
  • Identification of a new final height predictor, HAPO (height adjusted for pubertal onset).

Main Results:

  • The ICP model effectively describes individual growth trajectories, accommodating variations in pubertal development.
  • ICP Standards offer advantages over cross-sectional standards for evaluating prepubertal and pubertal growth.
  • A novel predictor, HAPO, based on pubertal onset age and size, was identified for final height prediction.

Conclusions:

  • The ICP growth model provides a robust framework for analyzing and evaluating individual child growth, particularly during puberty.
  • ICP Standards facilitate personalized growth assessment, independent of pubertal timing.
  • The HAPO predictor offers a new method for estimating final height based on early pubertal characteristics.

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