Tumor Regression Grade as a Prognostic Factor in Metastatic Colon Cancer Following Preoperative Chemotherapy

The prognostic value of tumor regression grade (TRG) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy has been explored extensively. However, whether TRG is predictive of outcome in colon cancer following preoperative chemotherapy has not been reported.

A total of 276 colon cancer patients who had undergone preoperative chemotherapy and surgery in Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center during the period March 2014 through November 2019 were recruited in this study. 113 (40.9%) and 163 (59.1%) patients were diagnosed with locally advanced colon cancer (LACC) and metastatic colon cancer (mCC) before preoperative chemotherapy, respectively. The TRG was divided into TRG0 (complete response), TRG1 (good response), TRG2 (moderate response), and TRG3 (poor response).

Of the 276 patients 4.0% were TRG0, 5.4% were TRG1, 29.3% were TRG2, 61.2% were TRG3. TRG0 and TRG1 or TRG0, TRG1 and TRG2 were combined to simplify analysis due to limited sample size. In entire cohort, the 3-year overall survival for TRG0-1, TRG2, and TRG3 groups were 80.0%, 68.8% and 43.3% (P = .003). In LACC cohort, TRG was not associated with patients' prognosis, which largely resulted from limited outcome events. In mCC cohort, the 3-year overall survival for TRG0-1, TRG2, and TRG3 groups were 74.3%, 62.8% to 28.1% (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that TRG was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in both entire cohort and mCC cohort (TRG3 vs. TRG0-2).

TRG is a prognostic factor in predicting long-term outcomes of mCC patients treated with preoperative chemotherapy.