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Decision-making dynamic evolution among groups regarding express packaging waste recycling under different reference
Jiahui Yang1, Ruyin Long2, Hong Chen3
1School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Jiangsu, Xuzhou 221116, China.
Understanding express packaging waste recycling behavior is key for waste management. Information policy and reference dependence significantly influence recycling adoption, with specific thresholds needed for stable strategies.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Behavioral Economics
- Waste Management
Background:
- Current waste recycling models often overlook group susceptibility to internal and external influences.
- Express packaging waste presents a growing challenge for effective waste management strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an evolutionary game model analyzing express packaging waste recycling behavior.
- To investigate the impact of information policy and reference dependence on recycling decision-making.
- To explore how different initial adoption rates affect recycling behavior evolution.
Main Methods:
- Construction of an evolutionary game model incorporating information policy and reference dependence.
- Development of a system dynamics simulation model calibrated with survey data.
- Conducting simulation experiments to assess the influence of key factors on recycling behavior.
Main Results:
- Without information policy, recycling behavior exhibits cyclical oscillations.
- Stable recycling trends are contingent on information intensity, demonstrating diminishing marginal effects.
- A critical information intensity threshold (ten) is required for groups with low initial adoption rates to achieve stable recycling.
- Reference points significantly alter behavior due to loss aversion, and cost-benefit analyses drive adoption decisions.
Conclusions:
- Information policy and reference dependence are critical drivers of express packaging waste recycling behavior.
- Effective waste management policies require consideration of psychological factors like loss aversion and information thresholds.
- The study provides novel insights for waste management research and policy formulation.
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