ΔPCO2 and ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2 Are Not Predictive of Organ Dysfunction After Cardiopulmonary Bypass

Sheng Zhang1, Dan Zheng1, Xiao-Qiong Chu1

  • 1Department of Critical Care Medicine, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Wenzhou Medical University, Linhai, China.

Insights

Carbon dioxide (CO2)-derived variables like venous-to-arterial CO2 difference (ΔPCO2) are not reliable predictors of organ dysfunction after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). Base excess (BE) showed better predictive performance in patients with multiple organ failures.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Surgery
  • Intensive Care Medicine
  • Critical Care Physiology

Background:

  • Cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) carries a significant risk of major adverse events and organ dysfunction.
  • Carbon dioxide (CO2)-derived variables, including venous-to-arterial CO2 difference (ΔPCO2) and the ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2 ratio, are established prognostic markers in non-cardiac surgery.
  • The utility of these CO2-derived variables in predicting outcomes specifically after CPB remains debated.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the prognostic value of ΔPCO2 and ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2 in predicting organ dysfunction 48 hours after cardiac surgery with CPB.
  • To compare the predictive performance of CO2-derived variables with other physiological markers like lactate and Base Excess (BE).

Main Methods:

  • Prospective enrollment of 114 intensive care unit (ICU) patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery with CPB.
  • Classification of patients into organ dysfunction (OI) and non-organ dysfunction (n-OI) groups based on organ function at 48 hours post-CPB.
  • Measurement and analysis of ΔPCO2 and ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2 at ICU admission and at 4, 8, and 12 hours post-admission.

Main Results:

  • No statistically significant differences were found in ΔPCO2 or ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2 between the OI and n-OI groups during the first 12 hours post-ICU admission.
  • Subgroup analysis revealed that lactate and Base Excess (BE) had improved predictive performance for multiple organ failures compared to ΔPCO2 and ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2.
  • Regression analysis identified BE at 8 hours post-admission as a significant risk factor for organ dysfunction at 48 hours post-CPB (OR = 1.37, P = 0.009).

Conclusions:

  • ΔPCO2 and ΔPCO2/C(a-cv)O2 are not reliable indicators for predicting 48-hour organ dysfunction following CPB.
  • The complex pathophysiological changes after CPB may limit the predictive capacity of these specific CO2-derived variables.
  • Base Excess (BE) emerges as a more promising marker for risk stratification in post-cardiac surgery patients.