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Published on: June 5, 2021
SARS-CoV-2 prevalence and immunity: a hospital-based study from Malawi
Summary
COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) transmission in Malawi is likely underestimated. Hospital-based surveillance revealed a 10.1% prevalence, with many asymptomatic cases, and feasible immunity estimation using surrogate virus neutralization tests (sVNTs).
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) transmission and disease dynamics in sub-Saharan Africa remain poorly understood.
- Limited data exists on SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2) epidemiology in Malawi.
- Hospital-based settings offer a unique perspective for assessing disease prevalence and immunity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in Lilongwe, Malawi.
- To assess SARS-CoV-2 immunity in a hospital-based cohort.
- To provide insights into COVID-19 epidemiology in sub-Saharan Africa.
Main Methods:
- Cross-sectional survey using convenience sampling in Lilongwe, Malawi.
- SARS-CoV-2 testing via enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and RT-PCR (Reverse-Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction).
- Surrogate virus neutralization test (sVNT) for immunity assessment in seropositive individuals; Poisson regression for prevalence analysis.
Main Results:
- A combined point prevalence of 10.1% was observed in 930 participants.
- RT-PCR positivity was 2.0%, seropositivity was 9.3%, and 90.1% of seropositive samples showed sVNT positivity.
- A high rate of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection (45.7%) was detected, with prevalence significantly associated with healthcare worker status.
Conclusions:
- Official COVID-19 data likely underestimates actual transmission in Malawi.
- sVNTs are a feasible method for estimating post-infection immunity in this setting.
- Subclinical infections play a significant role in surveillance, mitigation, and vaccination strategies.
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