Development of a decision flowchart to identify the patients need high-dose vancomycin in early phase of treatment

The standard dose of vancomycin (VCM, 2 g/day) sometimes fails to achieve therapeutic concentration in patients with normal renal function. In this study, we aimed to identify factors to predict patients who require high-dose vancomycin (> 2 g/day) to achieve a therapeutic concentration and to develop a decision flowchart to select these patients prior to VCM administration.

Patients who had an estimated creatinine clearance using the Cockcroft-Gault equation (eCCr) of ≥50 mL/min and received intravenous VCM were divided into 2 cohorts: an estimation set (n = 146, from April to September 2016) and a validation set (n = 126, from October 2016 to March 2017). In each set, patients requiring ≤2 g/day of VCM to maintain the therapeutic trough concentration (10-20 μg/mL) were defined as standard-dose patients, while those who needed > 2 g/day were defined as high-dose patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictive factors for high-dose patients and decision tree analysis was performed to develop decision flowchart to identify high-dose patients.

Among the covariates analyzed, age and eCCr were identified as independent predictors for high-dose patients. Further, the decision tree analysis revealed that eCCr (cut off value = 81.3 mL/min) is the top predictive factor and is followed by age (cut off value = 58 years). Based on these findings, a decision flowchart was constructed, in which patients with eCCr ≥81.3 mL/min and age < 58 years were designated as high-dose patients and other patients were designated as standard-dose patients. Subsequently, we applied this decision flowchart to the validation set and obtained good predictive performance (positive and negative predictive values are 77.6 and 84.4%, respectively).

These results suggest that the decision flowchart constructed in this study provides an important contribution for avoiding underdosing of VCM in patients with eCCr of ≥50 mL/min.