Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation: Risk Factors and Predictive Models

Liver transplantation (LTx) is the best treatment for patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The Milan criteria positively influenced results of liver transplantation and were adopted by the majority of cancer centers, becoming the criterion standard treatment for early-stage HCC. Despite the use of restrictive criteria, recurrence is still high, affecting between 8% and 20% of cases, and is a significant predictor of survival after LTx. The diagnosis of both micro-and macro-invasion of vessels, which are significant factors in determining the frequency of recurrence and overall survival, significantly decreases the success of transplantation, causing an increase in mortality of 50% in comparison to recipients with no vascular invasion. The risk of recurrence depends on several factors, which are discussed in this review. The authors also discuss the clinical presentation and treatment methods of recurrence and its prognosis. In addition, the role of different models developed to identify groups of patients with high versus low risk of recurrence is discussed, enabling the planning of recommendations and screening protocols after transplantation to help early diagnosis and guide effective treatment. In the era of an increasing numbers of liver transplants due to HCC, the need to create robust screening tools is urgent.