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Predictive Value of Complete Blood Count-Derived Inflammatory Markers for 5-Year Survival After Carotid
Núria Casanova1,2, Carles Diaz-Duran1, Lluís Nieto1
1Vascular Surgery Department, 16548Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain.
Insights
Preoperative complete blood count inflammatory markers (CBC-IMs) like NLR, PLR, and SII are linked to 5-year survival after carotid endarterectomy (CEA). These markers may aid in selecting patients for this vital preventive procedure.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Surgery
- Inflammatory Biomarkers
- Cardiovascular Disease Prediction
Background:
- Complete blood count inflammatory markers (CBC-IMs) are linked to cardiovascular disease and mortality.
- Predicting long-term outcomes after carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the relationship between preoperative CBC-IMs and 5-year survival following CEA.
- To determine if CBC-IMs can improve risk stratification in patients undergoing CEA.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 411 patients undergoing CEA (2004-2018).
- Assessment of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte (LMR) ratio, and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII).
- Multivariable Cox regression and spline analysis to identify predictors of 5-year survival.
Main Results:
- The 5-year survival rate was 79.8%.
- Age, hemoglobin, heart failure, ASA-IV score, and active neoplastic disease were independent predictors of survival.
- NLR, PLR, and SII demonstrated a linear and independent relationship with 5-year survival after adjusting for baseline predictors.
- Inclusion of NLR, PLR, and SII improved the continuous net reclassification index (c-NRI), indicating enhanced predictive ability.
Conclusions:
- Preoperative CBC-IMs, including NLR, PLR, and SII, are significantly associated with 5-year survival after CEA.
- These inflammatory markers may offer moderate value in patient selection for CEA.
- Further research could explore integrating CBC-IMs into routine risk assessment for CEA patients.
Abstract:
Complete blood count inflammatory markers (CBC-IMs) have been associated with cardiovascular diseases and mortality. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between preoperative CBC-IMs and 5-year survival after carotid endarterectomy (CEA). Retrospective analysis of 411 consecutive patients who underwent CEA between 2004 and 2018 was done. CBC-IM included the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte (LMR) ratio, and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). Survival rate at 5 years was 79.8%. Age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.05, P = .003), hemoglobin (HR = 0.78, P < .001), heart failure (HR = 2.91, P = .005), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA)-IV score (HR = 2.41, P = .043), and active neoplastic disease (HR = 2.61, P = .028) were independently related to survival. The discrimination of this model (C-statistic) was 0.698. Spline analysis showed a linear relationship between survival and NLR (P < .001), PLR (P < .001), and SII (P < .001). After adjusting for the baseline predictive score, there was a significant relationship between survival and NLR (HR = 1.191, P = .001), PLR (HR = 1.004, P = .017), and SII (HR = 1.001, P < .001). The addition of NLR, PLR, and SII to the survival model improved the continuous net reclassification index (c-NRI) by 0.29 (P = .028), 0.347 (P = .008), and 0.481 (P < .001), respectively, but not the C-statistic. CBC-IMs show a linear and independent relationship with 5-year survival after CEA and may moderately contribute to patient selection for this preventive intervention.
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