Tumor Size, Not Small Vessel Invasion, Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been criticized for failing to stratify patients. We aimed to reassess and modify the tumor staging criteria for HCC.

Three independent study cohorts were collected and analyzed.

The initial cohort consists of 103 patients with HCC. By Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the 8th edition failed to distinguish between T1b and T2. Only tumor size and large vessel invasion, but not small vessel invasion or other histopathologic parameters, predicted HCC survival. We modified the T staging criteria by eliminating small vessel invasion while emphasizing tumor size in the middle categories (T2 and T3), which achieved more even distribution of cases and significantly improved risk stratifications (P < .001). This modification was then validated in a cohort of 250 consecutive patients from Mount Sinai Hospital and an online Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data set comprising 9,685 patients, which showed similar results. Small vessel invasion was not an independent prognostic factor in either validation cohort.

Our study showed that tumor size, but not small vessel invasion, predicts survival in patients with HCC. We suggest incorporating our modified T staging criteria in future AJCC revisions.