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BNT162b2 Vaccine-Associated Myo/Pericarditis in Adolescents: A Stratified Risk-Benefit Analysis
Allison Krug1, Josh Stevenson2, Tracy Beth Høeg3,4
1Artemis Biomedical Communications, LLC, Virginia Beach, Virginia, USA.
Background:
Male patients ages 12-17 years have an elevated risk of mRNA vaccination-associated myo/pericarditis. A risk-benefit analysis of first and second doses of mRNA vaccination in adolescent boys by health status and history of SARS-CoV-2 infection has not been performed.
Methods:
Using the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), we identified BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech] myo/pericarditis occurrence according to CDC criteria. Main outcomes were as follows: 1) post-vaccination myo/pericarditis crude incidence in adolescents aged 12-15 and 16-17; and 2) two risk-benefit analyses by age, sex, comorbidity, variant and history of infection.
Results:
Cases of myo/pericarditis (n = 253) included 129 after dose 1 and 124 after dose 2; 86.9% were hospitalized. Incidence per million after dose two in male patients aged 12-15 and 16-17 was 162.2 and 93.0, respectively. Weighing post-vaccination myo/pericarditis against COVID-19 hospitalization during delta, our risk-benefit analysis suggests that among 12-17-year-olds, two-dose vaccination was uniformly favourable only in nonimmune girls with a comorbidity. In boys with prior infection and no comorbidities, even one dose carried more risk than benefit according to international estimates. In the setting of omicron, one dose may be protective in nonimmune children, but dose two does not appear to confer additional benefit at a population level.
Conclusions:
Our findings strongly support individualized paediatric COVID-19 vaccination strategies which weigh protection against severe disease vs. risks of vaccine-associated myo/pericarditis. Research is needed into the nature and implications of this adverse effect as well as immunization strategies which reduce harms in this overall low-risk cohort.
Insights
mRNA vaccines pose a risk of myo/pericarditis in adolescent males. A risk-benefit analysis shows vaccination is only uniformly favorable for nonimmune girls with comorbidities, suggesting individualized pediatric COVID-19 vaccination strategies.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Vaccinology
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Adolescent males (12-17 years) face increased risk of mRNA vaccination-associated myo/pericarditis.
- Previous risk-benefit analyses for this demographic are lacking.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the risk-benefit of mRNA vaccine doses in adolescent boys.
- To stratify analysis by health status and SARS-CoV-2 infection history.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) data for BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) myo/pericarditis cases.
- Calculated crude incidence rates and conducted risk-benefit analyses based on age, sex, comorbidity, variant, and infection history.
Main Results:
- Myo/pericarditis occurred in 253 cases (129 after dose 1, 124 after dose 2), with 86.9% hospitalization rate.
- Post-dose 2 incidence in males aged 12-15 and 16-17 was 162.2 and 93.0 per million, respectively.
- Two-dose vaccination was favorable only in nonimmune girls with comorbidities during the Delta variant surge. For boys with prior infection, one dose showed more risk than benefit. Omicron variant data suggests one dose may suffice for nonimmune children.
Conclusions:
- Individualized pediatric COVID-19 vaccination strategies are recommended.
- Strategies should balance severe disease protection against myo/pericarditis risks.
- Further research is needed on adverse effects and harm-reduction immunization strategies.
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