What Are the Most Effective Factors in Determining Future Exacerbations, Morbidity Weight, and Mortality in Patients...

This study aimed to investigate the important factors that affect COPD prognosis.

We included 160 hospitalized patients with COPD exacerbation in the study. The hemoglobin (HB), hematocrit (HCT), leukocytes, red cell distribution width (RDW), mean platelet volume, platelet distribution width, plateletcrits, platelets, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, eosinophils, uric acid, albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin, arterial blood gases (PO2 and PCO2), pulmonary function test (FEV1 and FVC), echocardiography (ejection fraction-EF), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage, Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) and Borg scales, Charlson comorbidity index, body mass index (BMI), and the length of hospital stay were examined on the first day of hospitalization. Admission to the hospital with a new attack, hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU), and mortality during the six months after discharge were evaluated.

High CRP and procalcitonin levels were observed in the group with a long hospital stay. In the mortality group, the HB, HCT, BMI, and PO2 values were significantly lower than in the group without mortality, while the age and GOLD stage were higher. The age, Borg and mMRC scores, number of exacerbations experienced in the previous year, RDW, eosinophil count, and PCO2 were significantly higher in the ICU group than that without an ICU stay. The HCT and EF values were lower in the ICU group than that without an ICU stay. The FEV1 and FVC values were significantly lower in the follow-up attack group than those without a follow-up attack. The duration of COPD and the number of attacks that were experienced in the previous year were high.

Scoring combining selected biomarkers and other factors is a strong determinant of the prognosis.