Prospective study of disease persistence and lung function trajectories of childhood asthma

Man Fung Tang1,2, Agnes Sze Yin Leung1, Noelle Anne Ngai1

  • 1Department of Paediatrics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong.

Insights

Many children outgrow asthma, but female sex, inhaled corticosteroid use, frequent exacerbations, and lower baseline lung function predict persistent asthma into adulthood. Persistent asthma is linked to poorer lung function growth.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Allergy and Immunology
  • Respiratory Medicine
  • Longitudinal Cohort Studies

Background:

  • Childhood asthma often resolves by adulthood, but predictors of persistent disease remain unclear.
  • Understanding asthma persistence is crucial for long-term management and predicting adult respiratory health.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify predictors of persistent asthma in childhood.
  • To characterize lung function trajectories in children with persistent versus resolved asthma.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective follow-up of 181 Chinese children with asthma (aged 6-15) for over 12 years.
  • Annual spirometry and medication data collection; asthma resolution defined as ≥2 years symptom and drug-free.
  • Logistic regression and generalized estimating equations used to analyze predictors and lung function changes.

Main Results:

  • One-third of children outgrew their asthma.
  • Female sex (OR 3.36), ever using inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) (OR 3.19), and frequent asthma exacerbations (AE) (OR 3.05) predicted persistent asthma.
  • Lower baseline FEV1% (OR 0.96) was associated with persistence; persistent asthma patients showed poorer lung function growth.

Conclusions:

  • Female sex, prior ICS use, frequent AE, and reduced baseline lung function are key predictors of persistent childhood asthma.
  • Children with persistent asthma exhibit diminished lung function growth into adulthood, highlighting the need for early intervention.
Abstract

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