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Locating and testing the healthy context paradox: examples from the INCLUSIVE trial
G J Melendez-Torres1, Emily Warren2, Obioha C Ukoumunne3
1Peninsula Technology Assessment Group, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK. g.j.melendez-torres@exeter.ac.uk.
The healthy context paradox describes when interventions improve outcomes for some but worsen them for others. This study proposed statistical models to test for this paradox in school bullying interventions, finding no evidence of it in the INCLUSIVE trial.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Psychology
- Education
Background:
- The healthy context paradox occurs when interventions reduce victimization but widen mental wellbeing gaps among remaining victims.
- This phenomenon was initially observed in school bullying interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To generalize the healthy context paradox concept to mediational relationships and cluster-level interventions.
- To propose and test statistical models for identifying the healthy context paradox using multilevel mediation.
- To explore structural and individual-level explanations for the paradox.
Main Methods:
- Two multilevel mediation models were estimated using data from the INCLUSIVE trial.
- Models examined bullying victimization as a mediator and mental wellbeing as an outcome.
- Intervention assignment and mediator-outcome relationships were analyzed at school and student levels.
Main Results:
- Neither proposed statistical model indicated the INCLUSIVE trial exemplified the healthy context paradox.
- Each model offered distinct interpretations relevant to a multilevel understanding of the paradox.
Conclusions:
- Further investigation into intervention harms, particularly for subgroups, is crucial for understanding intervention efficacy.
- The proposed statistical models offer tools to assess and improve intervention development for equitable population outcomes.
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