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Epistemic phase transitions in mathematical proofs.

Scott Viteri1, Simon DeDeo2

  • 1Department of Computer Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA; Social & Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.

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Summary

Mathematicians gain confidence in complex proofs through a cognitive process combining deduction and abduction. This mechanism allows for a rapid shift from uncertainty to certainty, even with minor errors in mathematical arguments.

Keywords:
Belief formationMathematical cognitionNetworksPhilosophy of mathematicsPsychology of mathematics

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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Science
  • Philosophy of Mathematics
  • Formalized Reasoning

Background:

  • Mathematical proofs represent highly explicit arguments, yet their complexity increases the probability of errors.
  • Understanding how mathematicians develop confidence in complex proofs is a fundamental question in cognitive science and the philosophy of mathematics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the cognitive mechanisms underlying belief formation in mathematical arguments.
  • To identify how confidence in proofs transitions from uncertainty to certainty.
  • To analyze the impact of error rates on the acceptance of mathematical claims.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of a dataset comprising 48 machine-aided proofs from the Coq formalized reasoning system.
  • Inclusion of 5 hand-constructed proofs, including historical examples like Euclid and Fermat's Last Theorem.
  • Modeling a cognitively-plausible belief formation mechanism integrating deductive and abductive reasoning.

Main Results:

  • Demonstrated an 'epistemic phase transition' where belief shifts dramatically from uncertainty to confidence.
  • This transition occurs at reasonable claim-to-claim error rates within the analyzed proofs.
  • The proposed belief formation mechanism explains how complex mathematical arguments are accepted.

Conclusions:

  • The study provides insights into how humans justify complex beliefs, using mathematical proofs as a case study.
  • Results inform the history and philosophy of mathematics regarding the understanding and acceptance of proofs.
  • The findings contribute to cognitive science by modeling a plausible mechanism for belief justification.